Wednesday, August 16, 2017

Blogger Fantasy Movie League – Week Eleven

When things start falling apart.

The edge was clearly coming off the contest.  Not only was Liore so far out in front as to be unassailable, but even in the pack changes in overall standings seemed unlikely.  Add in a week with no blockbuster launches and it was no wonder that two people forgot to even make their picks for the week.

Yes, there were a few new movies this past weekend, but when you have been through weeks with 50, 70, and even 100 million dollar openings, the opening of Annabelle: Creation, predicted to be in the $25 million range isn’t exactly stirring.  Plus I knew nothing about the film.  Still, I had a $1,000 budget and eight screens to fill, so I went down the list trying to make a stab at some sort of line up.

 Annabelle Creation $380
 The Nut Job 2      $176
 Dunkirk            $143
 The Dark Tower     $106
 Girls Trip         $89
 The Emoji Movie    $77
 Spider-Man         $75
 Kidnap             $72
 Detroit            $56
 Atomic Blonde      $54
 The Glass Castle   $52
 Despicable Me 3    $44
 Planet of the Apes $43
 Baby Driver        $21
 Wonder Woman       $20

In the end, for no good reason, I decided an all female leads theme was the way to go, so I went with two screens of Annabelle Creation, a screen of Kidnap, two screens of Atomic Blonde, and three screens of Wonder Woman.

As the weekend estimates came in, it looked like Liore was going to win another week.  She only went with one screen of Annabelle Creation, but she had three screens of The Glass Castle, which looked likely to get the best price/performance boost of $2 million per screen, enough to boost Liore ahead of the pack yet again.

And then the final numbers came in and Annabelle Creation, which beat estimates by $10 million, ended up being the best price/performance pick of the week, bolstering my selection and pushing Liore down into third place for the week, behind myself and Ocho.

My Week 11 Picks and their Revenue

I won the week, the rankings shaking out as:

  1. Wilhelm’s Clockwork Lemon Multiplex – $92,413,326
  2. Ocho’s Octoplex – $91,063,841
  3. Dr Liore’s Evil House of Pancakes – $85,743,232
  4. Braxwolf’s Waffleplex – $77,611,192
  5. Void’s Awesomeplex – $75,807,974
  6. Pasduil’s Popcorn Picturehouse – $74,817,084
  7. Moderate Peril’s Sleazy Porno Theatre – $74,252,899
  8. Syl’s Fantasy Galore Panopticum – $66,138,438
  9. Bel’s House of Horrors – $26,866,850
  10. Murf’s Matinee Mania – $14,924,605

Bel and Murf both failed to pick, so rolled with the previous weeks picks, which left them each with two empty screens as some of their picks were no longer on the list.

Nobody in our league got the perfect pick of the week, which consisted of two screens of Annabelle Creation, three screens of the Glass Castle, a screen of Planet of the Apes, and two screens of Wonder Woman.  261 people managed to get the perfect pick overall on the site, which netted them $99,547,100.

Perfect Picks for Week 11

As noted, there isn’t much that can be done at this point to shake up the rankings, save forgetting to pick for a couple of week.  At the end of week 11 the overall seasonal rankings looked like this:

  1. Dr Liore’s Evil House of Pancakes – $1,179,773,786
  2. Wilhelm’s Clockwork Lemon Multiplex – $1,099,976,348
  3. Ocho’s Octoplex – $1,015,911,862
  4. Void’s Awesomeplex – $983,919,075
  5. Moderate Peril’s Sleazy Porno Theatre – $959,423,735
  6. Pasduil’s Popcorn Picturehouse – $944,970,871
  7. Braxwolf’s Waffleplex – $926,427,978
  8. Syl’s Fantasy Galore Panopticum – $853,353,980
  9. Murf’s Matinee Mania – $833,121,646
  10. Bel’s House of Horrors – $799,170,850

The only change in ranking was Syl climbing up another spot after Murf failed to do his picks.

Beating Liore by about $7 million this week still leaves me $80 million behind.  That is way too much ground to cover with only two weeks remaining, and all the more so when one looks at the week 12 line up.

Hitman's Bodyguard $254
Annabelle Creation $216
Logan Lucky        $184
Dunkirk            $98
The Nut Job 2      $62
Spiderman          $58
The Emoji Movie    $52
Girls Trip         $50
The Glass Castle   $48
The Dark Tower     $48
Wind River         $43
Kidnap             $38
Atomic Blonde      $34
Planet of the Apes $29
Despicable Me 3    $28

On the bright side, I suppose, there are no $5 titles on the list.  However, there also isn’t a single title ranked over $300 either, making it look like a pretty thin week.  I’ll be lucky to get $80 million out of these picks, much less close the gap between Liore and myself.

So there we stand with two weeks left to go in the season.

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